Sunday, May 11, 2008

McCain - Rice 2008 ticket. The case for VP Condi.


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April 12, 2007. Secretary Condoleezza Rice meets with Senator John McCain, (now the presumptive nominee for the Republican nomination for President of the United States of America) at the State Department.

McCain-Rice wins 46 States. Hillary-Obama wins 4 states.
My analysis of a poll predicts a landslide victory for a McCain - Rice ticket in the 2008 presidential elections.

In a new poll conducted by Marist College and WNBC, a McCain-Rice ticket would beat a ticket that includes both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in New York — a state that reliably votes for the Democratic candidate. (In 2004, John Kerry beat President Bush there by nearly 20 points. In 2000, the margin between Al Gore and Bush was an even higher 25 points.)
- CNN Political Ticker blog

The poll says McCain-Rice wins by 3% in New York State which makes a 21% swing to the Republicans from the presidential election results in 2004. Imagine now a 21% swing to McCain-Rice compared to Bush-Cheney ...

To put this in perspective, if McCain-Rice did 21% better in all states compared to Bush-Cheney in 2004, which states would the Democrats win, if they couldn't even win in their Democratic Party stronghold of New York State?

Come on people do the math! The answer I think is -

McCain-Rice 2008 - 46 states won easy
Too many states to mention.

Clinton-Obama 2008 - 4 states won maximum
The Democrats would only win - D.C., Massachusetts - if they were lucky they might win Rhode Island and Vermont as well.
Against McCain - Rice, the Democrats would win 2 states for sure, maybe 4 in total, not much more.

All the other states would be won by McCain - Rice, assuming the swing of 21% to McCain-Rice.

The Rice boost to the ticket.

McCain-Rice is trusted by the voters of left and right and 21% more in New York State than Bush-Cheney was trusted.

Please people MATH, MATH, MATH.

If you can understand the math, and that poll is an accurate measure of US voter opinion, then McCain-Rice promises to be a LANDSLIDE victory for the Republicans, winning all states apart from a few.

The Democratic National Committee knows this even if the GOP does not yet - Howard Dean has set up via several DNC front organisations, a "smear Condi" campaign such is the Democrats fear of the Republicans drafting Condi to the McCain ticket.

Condi has suffered more entertaining smears than this before (Condi Rice Raps video) yet still she remains popular.

So why should John McCain choose a running mate who only adds one or two states to the ticket - when Condi secures almost ALL STATES to the ticket?

- Peter Dow
Rice for President Yahoo Group

1 comment:

Gabrielle Eden said...

Hi. Just visiting you as you visited my blog. Interesting post. I do hope for McCain and Rice to succeed.